Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


MONUMENT VALLEY, ta (025665)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 09/09 10/07 10/12 10/15 10/19 10/21 10/27 10/31 11/03 11/09 11/15
32.5 09/09 10/14 10/21 10/28 10/30 11/01 11/03 11/05 11/08 11/14 11/15
28.5 09/09 10/14 10/28 10/31 11/04 11/09 11/10 11/15 11/19 11/23 11/28
24.5 09/09 10/27 11/05 11/10 11/14 11/21 11/22 11/25 11/29 12/05 12/19
20.5 11/04 11/17 11/23 11/24 11/26 11/29 12/02 12/09 12/12 12/15 12/23
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu