Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


MAGDALENA, NEW MEXICO (295353)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 08/23 09/11 09/23 09/30 10/03 10/05 10/06 10/09 10/11 10/14 10/16
32.5 09/17 09/27 10/04 10/06 10/09 10/10 10/15 10/17 10/19 10/28 10/29
28.5 10/01 10/09 10/14 10/17 10/18 10/19 10/22 10/29 10/31 11/10 11/13
24.5 10/10 10/16 10/23 10/25 10/29 11/01 11/04 11/05 11/08 11/14 11/27
20.5 10/24 11/01 11/04 11/07 11/09 11/10 11/14 11/15 11/18 11/26 11/27
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu