Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


JOHN DAY s, r (354291)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 08/17 08/23 08/29 09/01 09/03 09/07 09/09 09/11 09/13 09/18 10/05
32.5 08/24 09/04 09/09 09/13 09/18 09/20 09/22 09/25 10/04 10/09 10/26
28.5 09/07 09/20 09/23 09/27 10/02 10/05 10/06 10/11 10/15 10/24 11/03
24.5 09/13 10/05 10/12 10/15 10/19 10/22 10/24 10/27 11/01 11/07 11/13
20.5 10/09 10/17 10/22 10/30 11/03 11/07 11/13 11/17 11/21 11/28 12/24
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu