Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


TALENT sta, (358338)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 09/05 09/12 09/18 09/21 09/23 09/25 09/28 10/03 10/08 10/14 10/21
32.5 09/18 09/26 09/28 09/30 10/06 10/07 10/13 10/17 10/21 10/27 11/20
28.5 09/30 10/15 10/17 10/23 10/27 10/29 11/01 11/04 11/09 11/14 11/30
24.5 10/04 10/28 11/02 11/07 11/14 11/18 11/22 11/29 12/03 12/09 **/**
20.5 10/19 11/07 11/16 11/29 12/07 12/13 12/19 **/** **/** **/** **/**
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu