Fall 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jul. 31 - Dec. 31)


WILLIAMS 1 NW, te (359390)
Temp F Earliest 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Latest
36.5 08/26 07/31 08/27 08/05 09/05 09/08 09/09 08/24 09/13 09/08 09/18
32.5 09/13 08/01 09/18 08/23 09/24 09/28 09/29 09/09 10/02 09/19 10/04
28.5 10/02 08/24 10/04 09/11 10/14 10/17 10/20 09/24 11/01 10/10 11/14
24.5 10/14 09/08 10/15 09/23 11/03 11/04 11/05 10/18 11/09 10/27 11/16
20.5 11/04 09/17 11/10 10/10 11/20 11/27 12/17 11/01 **/** 11/20 **/**
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature
                  went below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to 
                  Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.
            07/31 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold 
                  temperature any day during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period.
xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or before the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't go below the threshold temperature during the July 31 to Dec. 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu