Spring 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jan 1 - Jul 31)


MESA state, (105859)
Temp F Earliest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Latest
36.5 04/30 05/07 05/07 05/24 06/05 06/06 06/07 06/08 06/22 06/15 06/25
32.5 04/11 04/27 04/23 05/06 05/01 05/02 05/16 05/19 05/27 06/02 06/06
28.5 03/28 04/02 04/07 04/14 04/13 04/15 04/29 05/01 05/05 05/11 05/27
24.5 03/03 03/16 03/20 03/28 03/31 04/01 04/04 04/14 04/18 04/26 05/06
20.5 02/27 02/04 03/08 03/03 03/16 03/19 03/22 03/29 03/29 04/10 03/29
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't
                  go below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 
                  period or that there was insufficient data to determine a 
                  date.

xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or after the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature went below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date. 07/30 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold temperature any day during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu