Spring 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jan 1 - Jul 31)


FERN RIDGE DAM, at (352867)
Temp F Earliest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Latest
36.5 04/13 04/24 05/01 05/05 05/07 05/10 05/13 05/16 05/27 05/31 06/21
32.5 02/06 03/07 03/27 04/06 04/13 04/21 04/24 04/29 05/01 05/07 05/20
28.5 01/03 01/29 02/05 02/14 02/22 03/02 03/09 03/14 03/17 03/21 04/22
24.5 **/** **/** **/** 01/04 01/19 01/29 01/31 02/05 02/12 03/01 03/09
20.5 **/** **/** **/** **/** **/** 01/02 01/12 01/22 01/31 02/04 02/28
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't
                  go below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 
                  period or that there was insufficient data to determine a 
                  date.

xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or after the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature went below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date. 07/30 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold temperature any day during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu