Spring 'Freeze' Probabilities (Jan 1 - Jul 31)


MODOC ORCHARD, te (355656)
Temp F Earliest 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Latest
36.5 05/05 05/13 05/21 05/27 05/30 06/02 06/08 06/11 06/15 06/21 06/29
32.5 04/04 04/23 04/27 05/03 05/08 05/13 05/18 05/22 05/25 05/31 06/12
28.5 02/26 03/14 03/27 04/01 04/06 04/13 04/15 04/20 04/24 05/02 05/21
24.5 **/** 01/24 02/13 02/28 03/03 03/12 03/18 03/23 03/27 04/02 04/17
20.5 **/** **/** 01/05 01/19 01/27 02/09 02/20 02/28 03/04 03/13 03/20
Graphic Output
 Earliest - Earliest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred.
            **/** means there has been a year when the minimum temperature didn't
                  go below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 
                  period or that there was insufficient data to determine a 
                  date.

xx% - Percent probability that a minimum temperature below the threshold will occur on or after the given date. **/** means non-occurrence of the threshold or insufficient data to determine a threshold.
Latest - Latest date when a minimum temperature below the threshold occurred. **/** means there has never been a year when the minimum temperature went below the threshold temperature during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period or insufficient data to determine a date. 07/30 means the minimum temperature can go below the threshold temperature any day during the Jan. 1 to July 31 period.

Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu