Weather Service Report


570 
AXUS76 KSTO 260405
DGTSTO
CAC003-005-007-009-011-017-021-035-057-061-063-067-077-089-091-
095-099-101-103-109-113-115-020415-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
805 PM PST Wed Jan 25 2023

...MUCH OF INTERIOR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA REMAINS IN DROUGHT BUT 
RAINFALL HAS BROUGHT IMPROVEMENT...

.SYNOPSIS AND IMPACTS...

The California Drought Monitor, released January 19, 2023 showed 
improvement to severe drought (D2) and (D1) moderate for much of the 
Sacramento Valley, delta and San Joaquin Valley, with 
(D1)improvements over the Sierra Nevada. Most areas have improved by 
two categories during the current water year. This is due to well 
above average precipitation that has accumulated since December 
2022. Sierra Nevada snowpack is around 220 percent of normal for 
this time of year, per the latest snowpack survey conducted by the 
California Department of Water Resources. 

While well above average precipitation and near to below average 
temperatures have occurred since December, the drought continues 
across much of the Northern California interior at this time.
Precipitation deficits remain in much of the region, including 
observed precipitation during 2022 compared to the annual average 
precipitation, as well as precipitation for the last two to three 
years.

The precipitation has led to much higher soil moisture levels and 
greatly improved stream flows. Lastly, current water levels have 
shown improvement due to recent increases in runoff, with most major 
reservoirs at or above historical averages, however Shasta and New 
Melones still lag below normal.
.

.CLIMATE SUMMARY (from October 1, 2022 until January 25, 2023)...

                
                      ACTUAL RAINFALL    NORMAL RAINFALL     % OF 
                                                             NORMAL
----------------------------------------------------------------

Downtown Sacramento       18.22              9.35              191%

Redding                   20.04              16.65             120%

Stockton                  15.47              6.65              239%

Modesto                   13.42              5.92              223%

Blue Canyon               50.25              29.56             170%

All of the above climate stations recorded well above normal 
rainfall since December 2022. Precipitation deficits over the last 
two to three years remain quite high over the Sierra Nevada, despite 
the anomalously high precipitation during recent weeks. Thus, the 
moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought conditions continue.

.HYDROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...

The Climate Predictions Centers outlook for February-March-April 
2023 shows an equal chance of above average or below average 
precipitation. The temperature outlook shows a tilt in the odds 
towards above average. For February-March-April (FMA) 2023, there is 
an equal chance of above, below, or near average temperatures and 
precipitation.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center indicated that the cool phase of 
ENSO, or La Nina, conditions continue over the equatorial regions of 
the Pacific Ocean. Also, latest forecasts show that La Nina will 
likely continue during the remainder of this month. ENSO neutral 
conditions are likely to soon develop, or by the February-March-
April (FMA) period of 2023. A La Nina is characterized by below 
average sea surface temperatures over the equatorial regions of the 
central and eastern Pacific Ocean, while ENSO neutral conditions are 
basically associated with near average sea surface temperatures in 
these regions of the Pacific Ocean.

Monthly Drought Information Statements will resume if any location 
returns to the D3 (Extreme Drought) classification.

.RELATED WEB SITES...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found at 
the following web addresses: US Drought Monitor: 
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu US Drought Information System: 
https://www.drought.gov NOAA Drought Page: 
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought Northeast Regional 
Climate Center: http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu New York State Climate 
Office: http://nysc.eas.cornell.edu

Additional water and river information: NWS: 
https://water.weather.gov OWP: https://water.noaa.gov US Geological 
Survey (USGS): https://water.usgs.gov US Army Corps of Engineers 
(USACE): https://www.usace.army.mil

.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

The Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the National 
Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental Information, 
the USDA, state and regional center climatologists and the National 
Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this statement has been 
gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites, state cooperative 
extension services, the USDA, USACE and USGS.

.NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

This will be the final monthly Drought Information Statement issued, 
as our forecast area is no longer in a D3 (Extreme Drought) or D4 
(Exceptional Drought) classification. Normally this statement is 
updated on the third Thursday of the month, or more often as 
conditions change, during episodes of D3 or D4.

&&

RELATED WEBSITES... California Data Exchange Center: 
http://cdec.water.ca.gov/ 

California Nevada River Forecast Center: 
http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/droughtInfo.php 

U.S. Drought Monitor: 
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.
aspx?CA 

National Integrated Drought Information System: 
https://www.drought.gov/states/california 

California Department of Water Resources Drought Page: 
https://water.ca.gov/Water-Basics/Drought 

Climate Prediction Center: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ 
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/monitoring_and_data/ 
drought.shtml 

National Center for Environmental Information: 
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/drought/ 

National Weather Service Sacramento: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/ 

National Weather Service California drought information resources: 
https://www.weather.gov/safety/drought-ww Association of California 

Water Agencies:  http://www.acwa.com

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER DROUGHT MONITOR 
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
SACRAMENTO CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES CALIFORNIA STATE 
CLIMATOLOGIST US BUREAU OF RECLAMATION CAL FIRE ASSOCIATION OF 
CALIFORNIA WATER AGENCIES LOCAL COUNTIES AND CITIES

QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...PLEASE REFER ALL QUESTIONS TO W-
STO.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV.

$$

SHOEMAKER

$$

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Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu