Weather Service Report


311 
FXUS65 KLKN 111932
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1232 PM PDT Fri Jul 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1222 PM PDT Fri Jul 11 2025

* A warming trend is expected through next week.

* Triple digit heat possible in the valleys of Northern and
  Central Nevada each afternoon Sunday through Wednesday.

* Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon Sunday 
  through Wednesday.

* Low chances for afternoon and early evening thunderstorm
  activity Sunday through next Thursday.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 1222 PM PDT Fri Jul 11 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: 

Current satellite imagery shows mostly clear across the forecast 
area. A warming trend is expected to persist through next week as 
high pressure strengthens over the western U.S. Highs will reach 
into the upper 90s to lower 100s with overnight lows in the upper 
50s to lower 60s. High temperatures across Northern and Central 
Nevada on Sunday and Monday will run five to eight degrees above 
normal, increasing the risk for heat-related illnesses. A Heat 
Advisory is in effect Sunday through Monday, mainly along the I-80
corridor, and portions of central Nevada. 

Meanwhile, weak instability and mid-level moisture over the 
weekend will produce afternoon cumulus clouds. The next chance of
dry thunderstorms (10-15%) will be primarily focused in 
northeastern Elko County Sunday and Tuesday afternoons as a weak 
upper-level disturbance approaches along the ID/NV border. 


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

High confidence in a warming trend though the weekend, with 
continued above normal temperatures early next week. Low 
confidence in any thunderstorm development early to mid next week.

&&


.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)

Expect VFR conditions the next 24 hours under mostly sunny and 
clear skies. Occasional afternoon gusts to 20KT are possible
during the Saturday timeframe.

AMD NOT SKED at KELY due to malfunctioning VIS sensor. 

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

Afternoon relative humidity values for northern NV fire zones 
will only fall to near 20% Friday while zones 424/425/426/427 see 
RH values at or below 12%. The entirety of northern and central NV
will dry out significantly over the weekend, however, as high 
pressure keeps available moisture shunted north of the state. The 
same high pressure will keep winds over all zones light into early
next week. Sunday afternoon instability and moisture associated 
with a strengthening shortwave over southern ID will infiltrate 
far enough south over northeastern NV to create isolated dry 
thunderstorms for zones 438/469/470 through early evening.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Heat Advisory from 11 AM Sunday to 9 PM PDT Monday 
NVZ030-033-036>038-040-041.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...90
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86

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Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu