289 FXUS66 KOTX 110539 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 1039 PM PDT Thu Jul 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler and locally breezy through Thursday evening. - Warming trend returns Friday with above normal temperatures through this weekend. && .SYNOPSIS... After a brief cooldown on Thursday, warm temperatures will return over the weekend. Conditions will remain dry and winds will be locally breezy each afternoon across Central Washington. && .DISCUSSION... Thursday afternoon through Sunday: As an upper level trough tracks across the northeast corner of the region, winds will shift from west to northwest late Thursday afternoon and evening. In addition to the wind shift, the wave will bring just enough instability to keep chances for isolated showers over the northern ID Panhandle through the evening. Heading into the overnight hours, drier northerly air will result in clearing skies. As the trough exits the region and ridging rebuilds, temperatures will begin climbing Friday and will increase by a few degrees each day through the weekend, reaching the mid 90s to just over 100 degrees by Sunday. Thermally induced low pressure at the surface in the afternoons will create a cross-Cascade pressure gradient and will cause westerly winds to pick up each afternoon and evening through the Cascade gaps into the western Columbia Basin. Monday through Wednesday: The majority of model solutions are in agreement on a system moving in early next week, bringing cooler temperatures and an increase in winds which will lead to elevated fire weather concerns. Uncertainty remains as to how strong the system will be and exactly how much of an increase in winds it will bring. We will continue to monitor fire weather conditions for this time period. /Fewkes && .AVIATION... 06Z TAFS: VFR conditions are expected to continue for all TAF sites through the 24hr TAF period. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence that VFR conditions will continue at all TAF sites. The Hope and Western Pines Fires over NE Washington could advect some smoke into the Spokane/Coeur d'Alene area Thursday evening, though visibility at the surface is not expected to drop below 6 miles at this time. ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 56 89 60 93 63 96 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coeur d'Alene 55 87 59 91 63 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pullman 51 85 54 89 58 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lewiston 64 95 66 99 69 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Colville 44 87 50 92 53 96 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sandpoint 51 84 54 88 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Kellogg 58 84 62 87 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Moses Lake 60 93 61 97 65 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Wenatchee 63 93 68 96 71 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 Omak 56 92 62 96 65 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. ID...None. && $$ |