Weather Service Report


481 
FXUS65 KPUB 200947
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
347 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

Overall, generally tranquil and mild meteorological conditions are 
anticipated over south-central and southeastern Colorado during the 
next 24 hours. 

Currently:  Latest satellite and radar data as well as near/real-
time information and surface observations show that dry conditions 
in combination with low-grade winds and near seasonal temperatures 
are occuring across southern Colorado early this morning.

Recent forecast model soundings, high resolution computer 
simulations and real-time data suggest that upper ridging will 
continue to build into southern Colorado during the next 24 hours, 
allowing dry conditions, generally low-grade winds and slightly 
above seasonal later October maximum and minimum temperatures to 
be realized over the CWA during the next 24 hours. 

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

An upper level ridge will be over the area on Sun, with dry weather 
expected, and temps that are around average in the high valleys and 
above average over the southeast plains. 

On Monday, a broad upper trof over the western states will move 
closer to CO, and some moisture is expected to be drawn up from the 
southwest into western CO, bringing a chance for showers/tstms to 
the southern and central mtns.  Temps Mon area expected to be a 
little cooler over the southeast plains as weak front moves into the 
area early in the day, while the high valleys will generally 
continue to see around average high temps.

Tue, the upper trof will be over UT and AZ, and a disturbance is 
forecast to move from NM into CO.  Moisture being drawn into the 
area from the south looks plentiful and chances for precip look 
good, especially over southern areas during the day, and then 
increasing over southeast and east central CO for the evening and 
late night hours as the upper trof moves over CO.  Temps on Tue will 
be several degrees cooler and below average.  A few inches of snow 
will be possible over the high elevations.

The upper trof will exit the area late in the day Wed, but the 
weather will be unsettled thru the day.  The eastern plains will 
likely see the highest precip chances, as well as Pikes Peak and 
Teller county and the Palmer Dvd.  Thunderstorms will be possible 
over the mtns and nearby locations.  The high elevations will see 
additional snow accumulations. Temps will remain below average on 
Wed.

Mainly dry weather will return for Thu, although there could be a 
few light showers over the mtns. On Fri, an upper disturbance is 
forecast to moves over CO in the northwest flow aloft, bringing 
chances for precip to some of the mtns during  the day, and then 
spreading to the southeast plains Fri evening.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018

VFR conditions are projected to continue over the KALS, KCOS and 
KPUB taf sites during the next 24 hours as upper ridging continues 
to build across southern Colorado.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...28
AVIATION...77

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Western Regional Climate Center, wrcc@dri.edu