481 FXUS65 KPUB 200947 AFDPUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 347 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018 .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018 Overall, generally tranquil and mild meteorological conditions are anticipated over south-central and southeastern Colorado during the next 24 hours. Currently: Latest satellite and radar data as well as near/real- time information and surface observations show that dry conditions in combination with low-grade winds and near seasonal temperatures are occuring across southern Colorado early this morning. Recent forecast model soundings, high resolution computer simulations and real-time data suggest that upper ridging will continue to build into southern Colorado during the next 24 hours, allowing dry conditions, generally low-grade winds and slightly above seasonal later October maximum and minimum temperatures to be realized over the CWA during the next 24 hours. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018 An upper level ridge will be over the area on Sun, with dry weather expected, and temps that are around average in the high valleys and above average over the southeast plains. On Monday, a broad upper trof over the western states will move closer to CO, and some moisture is expected to be drawn up from the southwest into western CO, bringing a chance for showers/tstms to the southern and central mtns. Temps Mon area expected to be a little cooler over the southeast plains as weak front moves into the area early in the day, while the high valleys will generally continue to see around average high temps. Tue, the upper trof will be over UT and AZ, and a disturbance is forecast to move from NM into CO. Moisture being drawn into the area from the south looks plentiful and chances for precip look good, especially over southern areas during the day, and then increasing over southeast and east central CO for the evening and late night hours as the upper trof moves over CO. Temps on Tue will be several degrees cooler and below average. A few inches of snow will be possible over the high elevations. The upper trof will exit the area late in the day Wed, but the weather will be unsettled thru the day. The eastern plains will likely see the highest precip chances, as well as Pikes Peak and Teller county and the Palmer Dvd. Thunderstorms will be possible over the mtns and nearby locations. The high elevations will see additional snow accumulations. Temps will remain below average on Wed. Mainly dry weather will return for Thu, although there could be a few light showers over the mtns. On Fri, an upper disturbance is forecast to moves over CO in the northwest flow aloft, bringing chances for precip to some of the mtns during the day, and then spreading to the southeast plains Fri evening. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) Issued at 345 AM MDT Sat Oct 20 2018 VFR conditions are projected to continue over the KALS, KCOS and KPUB taf sites during the next 24 hours as upper ridging continues to build across southern Colorado. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...77 LONG TERM...28 AVIATION...77 |